Wednesday, June 27, 2007

Prediction

We make predictions all the time. For example, at home, if I have to make an urgent phone call to somebody, I immediately look for my cell phone (nothing wrong with doing that) and never for any of the landline phones because they are all cordless and nobody in the family ever puts them back in their bases and to find one of them would involve paging etc. My action here is based on the prediction that no phone would be in its base and one almost always found to be true! Another example: My friend's nine year old son did not do his homework one day because he was sick and he was afraid to go to school the next day lest his teacher may be mad at him. His mother told him to tell the teacher why he could not do the homework and that teacher will not be mad; the kid went to school and his teacher was very nice to him. We do not call these actions predictions because we are so very used to them. But looks like we do know somethings that will happen in the future because of our experience and observation of what happenned in the past a few times.
Come to think of it, scientific discovery is also based on observation and experience and prediction is part of all empirical sciences also. A scientific theory is formulated or a law of nature is discovered by recognizing a pattern in a series of observations. Any theory that is formulated is used not only to explain an observed event but also to predict the future behavior of a system which is within the scope of that theory. Predictiions from science are used by technologies to develop various instruments, medicines etc. Sometimes, when a scientific diiscovery is made, it is very hard for the non-scientist society to believe it because the idea dicovered may appear to contradict what they know. History shows there was bitter resistence to accepting some great discoveries. Copernicus' heliocentric system was considered implausible by the vast majority of his contemporaries, and by most astronomers and natural philosophers until Galileo came along who got into trouble with the Roman Catholic Church for his support of Copernicus' theory . It finally took Newton to provide theoretical underpinning for the Copernican theory using theory of gravitation.
So, it may be possible to explain some phenomena that are currently called paranormal when scientists discover what thought is really made up of. Any scientific discovery begins with intuition first and cannot be proved while it is still an intuition; to become an established theory does not happen easily and fast.
"Almost all really new ideas have a certain aspect of foolishness when they are first produced."

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